Transition Is Inevitable, Justice Is Not
Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung
Download
Abstract: This policy paper investigates pathways for a just transition in Kenya?s smallholder agriculture sector, which contributes up to 75% of national output. It argues that systemic vulnerabilities?land insecurity, degraded soils, erratic rainfall?are intensifying and that transformation is inevitable, but justice must be deliberately pursued. The paper integrates perspectives from Kenya?s Climate Change Act, ASTGS, and NDCs, recommending policy and governance reforms that prioritize land rights, equitable finance, and inclusion of marginalized groups. It explores concepts of decent agricultural work, ecosystem protection, and climate-smart practices like conservation agriculture and agroforestry. The paper includes scenario models for rural labor shifts and maps institutional entry points for inclusive climate governance. A key insight is the need for community participation in designing national and devolved programs. Methodologically, it blends legal analysis, stakeholder interviews, and strategic forecasting. This research expands understanding of Kenya?s climate transformation and provides structured policy proposals.