Innovations for Poverty Action
Abstract: This policy evidence review examines how climate shocks affect governance and conflict, particularly in fragile states. It synthesizes RCTs and quasi-experimental studies from Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Topics include emissions control regimes, social protection, irrigation governance, and land conflict. Kenya-based studies on subsidy reform and resilience indicators feature prominently. The review highlights five policy recommendations: improve enforcement capacity, deploy market tools, support social safety nets, integrate peacebuilding, and map climate-conflict pathways. Longitudinal data gaps and causal complexity are noted. Overall, it urges adaptive institutional design that links climate risk, poverty, and violence drivers within actionable program frameworks.